Nous Shorts· 17 Jul 2026· 2:06

The Next Step After the MOU Is War I Amaresh Misra

Amaresh Misra examines why the United States has responded cautiously to recent Iranian strikes, the significance of attacks on American-linked military infrastructure and Israel's strategic calculations.

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The overall situation right now is that the MOU has lapsed, and after the MOU lapses, the next logical step is war. But to say right now that the war has started, or that it's reached full pitch, would be a bit premature — because Netanyahu is going to the US on Saturday, and I think before Saturday, America won't retaliate in that way. Now, if you tally up the last two days, America hasn't responded with even a tenth of what Iran has hit. A big reason for that is something Iran also wanted to prove. Take Jordan, for instance — the well-known American base there, the King Faisal base — Iran struck it with four missiles. Now the videos that came out — this was on July 13, today is July 15 — the videos show that the interceptors ran out; there was nothing left to intercept with. Then it hit Bahrain. Bahrain has been hit continuously — the 12th, 13th, 14th, and again this morning. The video coming out of Bahrain shows a Patriot missile, an American interceptor, launching to intercept, and exploding in mid-air. What this means is America has handed its third-grade equipment to the Gulf countries for self-defense right now, and that is the biggest issue. Why isn't America retaliating? Because America can't figure out how to escalate the war further right now. Meanwhile Israel is under enormous pressure, and my interpretation is that the news Israel spread — telling Trump that Iran would assassinate him — was actually Israel signaling that Israel itself could assassinate Trump.

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